Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.361503 0.408580 0.461060 0.524191 0.598460 0.683527 0.789010
2024-10-20 0.282804 0.343181 0.416835 0.514478 0.642321 0.806568 1.037811
2024-10-27 0.238573 0.303845 0.388587 0.509001 0.679633 0.919060 1.292326
2024-11-03 0.217501 0.288298 0.385131 0.531167 0.753054 1.090407 1.669543
2024-11-10 0.197823 0.270757 0.374819 0.539689 0.805456 1.238786 2.050287
2024-11-17 0.178279 0.250373 0.356820 0.532466 0.830043 1.345356 2.387916
2024-11-24 0.161136 0.231266 0.337870 0.520047 0.842445 1.431656 2.711589
2024-12-01 0.149562 0.219190 0.328059 0.520620 0.876546 1.563708 3.171671
2024-12-08 0.142150 0.212705 0.326184 0.534027 0.935823 1.757621 3.841919
2024-12-15 0.133782 0.203775 0.319113 0.536882 0.974894 1.918607 4.497883
2024-12-22 0.123909 0.191433 0.304893 0.524461 0.980715 2.007426 4.999339
2024-12-29 0.119061 0.187057 0.303989 0.537076 1.041012 2.237778 6.021665
2025-01-05 0.112979 0.180209 0.298277 0.540102 1.082538 2.438116 7.078961
2025-01-12 0.105826 0.170934 0.287297 0.531139 1.095551 2.569824 7.988058
2025-01-19 0.099827 0.163230 0.278505 0.525575 1.115655 2.727634 9.105951
2025-01-26 0.097789 0.162496 0.282841 0.548665 1.211048 3.136030 11.598793
2025-02-02 0.094277 0.158740 0.280889 0.557542 1.272004 3.461875 14.037929
2025-02-09 0.089341 0.151939 0.272250 0.550020 1.287537 3.645013 15.935366
2025-02-16 0.084284 0.144564 0.261833 0.537091 1.285752 3.769024 17.642447
2025-02-23 0.080923 0.140229 0.257305 0.537687 1.323176 4.051529 20.708317
2025-03-02 0.079006 0.138567 0.258199 0.551645 1.403562 4.534915 25.937950
2025-03-09 0.076260 0.135071 0.254881 0.554618 1.451061 4.908406 31.018323
2025-03-16 0.072411 0.129122 0.245789 0.541686 1.445264 5.051286 34.350065